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This is very much a blueblood Derby: few cheap horses allowed, unknown trainers hard to find.
“We have a really good horse, but there are really good horses out there this year,” Justify’s trainer Bob Baffert said.
“I think it’s probably the most competitive Derby I’ve seen in years.” [Derby chart, odds, stats, videos] I like Justify, and not just because I have him at 40-1 in the future book.
If you hear it once this week, you will hear it a thousand times. Actually, they change nothing with a horse like Justify or the last four Derby winners.
That’s because Always Dreaming, Nyquist, American Pharoah and California Chrome all had terrific early speed, the kind of speed to make the vast majority of the 20 horses disappear in the first 100 yards.
Todd won his second Derby last year and Chad is certainly going to win one, if not more.
Each has a unique training style that works wonderfully over the long haul.
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Justify may have more early speed than all of them so, barring some kind of a disastrous break, the massive chestnut is going to be in a four-horse field or possibly even less by the first turn.